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/ How close will the closest near Earth object that is tracked by NASA come to Earth between April 1st and May 30th 2014?

There are 196 forecasts in this question and you are performing better than 100% of other people who have made forecasts.
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Current Status:

This question has been resolved and is closed for additional forecasts. Check your dashboard to see how you did.

Forecast:

Possible Answer Forecast Before Resolution Final Resolution
Less than 0.05 lunar distances % Chance 0% Chance
Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances % Chance 0% Chance
Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances % Chance 100% Chance
Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances % Chance 0% Chance
4.00 lunar distances or greater % Chance 0% Chance

Current Status:

This question is about to be resolved with a known result time of 2014-05-28 04:00:00. Any forecasts made after that period will be nullified. This question is about to be resolved.}.

Proposed Resolution:

Possible Answer Proposed
Less than 0.05 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances 100% Chance
Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances 0% Chance
4.00 lunar distances or greater 0% Chance

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Forecast Before Resolution:

Possible Answer Forecast Before Resolution
Less than 0.05 lunar distances % Chance
Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances % Chance
Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances % Chance
Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances % Chance
4.00 lunar distances or greater % Chance

Current Status:

This question is waiting to be judged by one of our topic leaders. Typically this only takes 1-3 days to be completed.

Current Forecast:

Possible Answer Current
Less than 0.05 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances 100% Chance
Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances 0% Chance
4.00 lunar distances or greater 0% Chance

Current Status:

This question has been paused. No more forecasts are being accepted. This could be for a couple reasons:
  • An event is occurring right now that would affect the outcome;
  • A mistake was made in the format of the question and it is being corrected

Current Forecast:

Possible Answer Current
Less than 0.05 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances 0% Chance
Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances 100% Chance
Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances 0% Chance
4.00 lunar distances or greater 0% Chance

POSSIBLE ANSWERS AND CURRENT CHANCE

Less than 0.05 lunar distances
0%
 

Your forecast

Chances of happening

Almost surely 90% - 100% Current forecast
Very likely 80% - 90% Current forecast
Likely 60% - 80% Current forecast
As likely as not 40% - 60% Current forecast
Unlikely 20% - 40% Current forecast
Very unlikely 10% - 20% Current forecast
Almost surely not 0% - 10% Current forecast
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Between 0.05 and 0.10 lunar distances
0%
 

Your forecast

Chances of happening

Almost surely 90% - 100% Current forecast
Very likely 80% - 90% Current forecast
Likely 60% - 80% Current forecast
As likely as not 40% - 60% Current forecast
Unlikely 20% - 40% Current forecast
Very unlikely 10% - 20% Current forecast
Almost surely not 0% - 10% Current forecast
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Between 0.10 and 1.00 lunar distances
100%
 

Your forecast

Chances of happening

Almost surely 90% - 100% Current forecast
Very likely 80% - 90% Current forecast
Likely 60% - 80% Current forecast
As likely as not 40% - 60% Current forecast
Unlikely 20% - 40% Current forecast
Very unlikely 10% - 20% Current forecast
Almost surely not 0% - 10% Current forecast
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Between 1.00 and 4.00 lunar distances
0%
 

Your forecast

Chances of happening

Almost surely 90% - 100% Current forecast
Very likely 80% - 90% Current forecast
Likely 60% - 80% Current forecast
As likely as not 40% - 60% Current forecast
Unlikely 20% - 40% Current forecast
Very unlikely 10% - 20% Current forecast
Almost surely not 0% - 10% Current forecast
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4.00 lunar distances or greater
0%
 

Your forecast

Chances of happening

Almost surely 90% - 100% Current forecast
Very likely 80% - 90% Current forecast
Likely 60% - 80% Current forecast
As likely as not 40% - 60% Current forecast
Unlikely 20% - 40% Current forecast
Very unlikely 10% - 20% Current forecast
Almost surely not 0% - 10% Current forecast
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