Although the funding for our research is complete, many of us are continuing to enhance SciCast and work on other projects that use the SciCast technology. We are currently focusing on work with the Department of Energy and commercial vendors in cybersecurity.
SciCast is a research project run by George Mason University and sponsored by IARPA to forecast the outcomes of key issues in science and technology. SciCast is based on the idea that the collective wisdom of an informed and diverse group is often more accurate at forecasting the outcome of events than that of one individual expert.
Unlike other forecasting sites, SciCast can create relationships between forecast questions that may have an influence on each other. For example, we may publish one question about the volume of Arctic sea ice, and another about sea surface temperature. Forecasters can later link the two questions together, and make their forecasts for ice volume depend on sea temperature. Once they are correlated, SciCast will instantly adjust ice forecasts whenever the temperature forecast changes!Learn more
If you would like access to research data or would like to chat about using SciCast in some way, please contact us.SEND US EMAIL
We were fortunate to work with an excellent team.
Thank you to our partners who encouraged their members to participate in SciCast and helped us author forecasting questions: